Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.96	3.3	3.5
	2	3.4	3.43
	1.96	3.38	3.53	Watch
	1.98	3.32	3.63
	1.96	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.78)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)	3.5 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
46.4%

Draw
27.5%

Alzira
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Alzira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alzira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alzira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peña Deportiva - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, Carretero R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alzira is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Alzira have a series of home games.

Peña Deportiva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.12.24	Olot - Peña Deportiva	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWL
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.12.24	Alzira - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Mallorca B - Alzira	1:1 ✺
27.11.24	Alzira - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alzira - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.24	Peña Deportiva - Alzira	3:1
03.09.23	Alzira - Peña Deportiva	0:0
05.03.23	Alzira - Peña Deportiva	1:2
16.10.22	Peña Deportiva - Alzira	2:1

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