Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.55	4.3
	1.76	3.5	4.65
	1.69	3.53	4.67
	1.74	3.54	4.46
	1.72	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.22)	3.51 ↑ (3.14)	4.43 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
53.2%

Draw
26.1%

Peña Deportiva
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sant Andreu's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Andreu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Montalban A. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Opara L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', Salinas M. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sant Andreu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sant Andreu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sant Andreu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sant Andreu - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Sant Andreu - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.24	Sant Andreu - Alzira	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Olot - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWTT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	1:3
05.11.23	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.09.13	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:1

Upcoming Matches