Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Binissalem

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.15	6.5
	1.42	4.05	6.64
	1.47	4.11	6.39	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.41	3.94	7.21
	1.42	4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	4.01 ↓ (4.68)	6.65 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
63.7%

Draw
22.7%

Binissalem
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19.5%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.8%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Binissalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Peña Deportiva - Binissalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Peña Deportiva has had a series of away games.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peña Deportiva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Binissalem	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.02.26	Felanitx - Peña Deportiva	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Peña Deportiva - Portmany	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Son Cladera - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Collerense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWT
- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.02.26	Binissalem - Portmany	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Rotlet Molinar - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Binissalem - Collerense	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santanyí - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Son Cladera - Binissalem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.10.25	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2
22.12.18	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2

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