The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 62.3%
Draw 22.9%
Boston River 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
20.1%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
19.1%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 2. Pezzella G. 6. Ferreira L. 15. Olivera M. (C) 7. Cabrera J. 5. Remedi E. 8. Fernandez N. 26. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 11. Jaime C. 32. Umpierrez L. 19. Arezo M.
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 25. Aguirre A. 22. Martinez F. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 15. Vazquez L. 16. Suhr L. 10. Amado A. 26. Munoa F. 9. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
28. Alegre I. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 80. Gonzalez F. 99. Hernandez A. 34. Herrera N. 21. Jesus Trindade 27. Lucas Hernandez 33. Rodriguez J. 4. Romero F.
13. Aristegui F. 20. Avenatti F. 4. Fernandez I. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 29. Lima A. 3. Mancebo M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 6. Saravia F. 27. Siri N. 8. Suarez L.
Coaches
Aguirre D.
Jaume D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ferreira L. ⚽,
32', Ferreira L. 🟨,
38', Remedi E. 🟨,
45+1', Vazquez L. 🟨,
45+2', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pezzella G. ↓, Herrera N. ↑,
46', Ferreira L. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
56', Suhr L. 🟨,
60', Cabrera J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
66', Suhr L. ↓, Aristegui F. ↑,
74', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
78', Vazquez L. ↓, Saravia F. ↑,
86', Martinez F. ↓, O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↑,
86', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
89', Jaime C. ↓, Alegre I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
Peñarol has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Boston River has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Peñarol has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Peñarol enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Peñarol in today's match, at odds of 1.42.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Peñarol has recorded 16 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:15 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peñarol against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 25:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.5 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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