The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo Wanderers 41.4%
Draw 28.3%
Boston River 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
28%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Buffa A. (G) 16. Alberti J. 21. Benitez S. 2. Cabral N. 10. Cosentino L. 13. Formiliano F. 31. Furtado N. 17. Garcia A. 30. Labandeira F. 5. Queiroz N. 24. Zeballos J.
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 10. Amado A. 9. Bonfiglio F. 4. Fernandez I. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 3. Mancebo M. 22. Martinez F. 26. Munoa F. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 16. Suhr L.
Coaches
Corujo M.
Cazulo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Labandeira F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Saravia Salvia R. A. 🟨,
58', Cabral N. 🟨,
62', Zeballos J. ↓, Ormeno S. ↑,
62', Mancebo M. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
62', Gonzalez M. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
68', Benitez S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Cabral N. (Own goal),
76', Benitez S. ↓, Urretaviscaya J. ↑,
76', Alberti J. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
82', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Aristegui F. ↑,
82', Amado A. ↓, Saravia F. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
84', Queiroz N. ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
90', Munoa F. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Siri N. ⚽,
90+4', Rivero R. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 0.
Wanderers has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Boston River is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wanderers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wanderers holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:29 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Boston River
12
4
3
5
14:15
-1
15
11
Wanderers
12
4
3
5
13:18
-5
15
Last Results with these Odds
Boston River - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
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Venezuela
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Buffa A. (G) 
Cabral N. 
Cazulo J. 
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