The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pedroñeras 21.7%
Draw 30.5%
Manchego 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
28.6%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
28.3%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pedroñeras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedroñeras than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Pedroñeras - Manchego Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Pedroñeras has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Manchego has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Manchego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Manchego is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pedroñeras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Pedroñeras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.