Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Manchego		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.65
	2.42	3.04	2.92
	2.11	3.13	3.42
	2.4	3.13	3
	2.45	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.98)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
40.6%

Draw
30.2%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchego's form might have worsened.

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manchego - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Manchego might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ciudad Real	5	5	0	0	8:2	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.26	San Clemente - Manchego	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Manchego - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Manchego - Illescas	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sonseca - Manchego	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Villarrobledo - Manchego	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Albacete B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	La Solana - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.09.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	3:0
04.05.25	Manchego - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:0
21.12.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	2:0
19.03.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	1:3
19.11.22	Manchego - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1
10.01.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Manchego	1:1
22.11.20	Manchego - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1

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