Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Pedroñeras		Cazalegas

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.85
	1.9	3.21	4.01
	1.91	3	4
	1.93	3.1	3.84
	1.87	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	3.94 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedroñeras
47.6%

Draw
29.4%

Cazalegas
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedroñeras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedroñeras than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedroñeras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cazalegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pedroñeras - Cazalegas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Pedroñeras is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cazalegas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pedroñeras might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pedroñeras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pedroñeras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pedroñeras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Huracán Balazote - Pedroñeras	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pedroñeras - Guadalajara B	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pedroñeras - Azuqueca	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Villarrubia - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Cazalegas - Villacañas	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	San Clemente - Cazalegas	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Illescas - Cazalegas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cazalegas - Manchego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.05.25	Pedroñeras - Cazalegas	1:0
12.01.25	Cazalegas - Pedroñeras	4:2

Pedroñeras - Cazalegas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide