Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.6	3.7	4.4
	1.58	3.85	4.6
	1.55	3.63	4.3
	1.57	3.98	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
56.5%

Draw
23.4%

Ursus Warszawa
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 1.

Recent matches Pelikan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursus Warszawa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ursus Warszawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pelikan is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelikan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Pelikan Łowicz	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Błonianka Błonie - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWT
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Legionovia Legionowo	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.06.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	0:2
20.11.21	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1
29.05.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	0:1
27.03.21	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
26.10.19	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0
13.04.19	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1
02.09.18	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	2:1

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