Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Unia Skierniewice		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.55	3.55
	1.82	3.53	3.57
	1.79	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)	3.62 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
50.2%

Draw
24.9%

Ursus Warszawa
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unia Skierniewice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unia Skierniewice won 2.

Unia Skierniewice is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ursus Warszawa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Unia Skierniewice is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unia Skierniewice won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Unia Skierniewice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
24.09.22	Unia Skierniewice - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWLW
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	3:3 ✺
10.09.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Ursus Warszawa - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.22	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	2:1
28.08.21	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	1:2
31.10.20	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:2
14.08.19	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:0
22.06.19	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	4:0
17.11.18	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	2:1

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