Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	3.70
	1.70	3.80	3.65
	1.88	3.95	3.07
	1.75	4.2	3.52	Watch
	1.85	3.90	3.00
	1.91	3.87	3.35	Watch
	1.57	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.52 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
51.3%

Draw
22.9%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

23.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Czeczko M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 16th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Pelikan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Pelikan carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pelikan has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pelikan against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pelikan	11	6	2	3	17:13	4	20
16	Lidzbark Warminski	11	2	3	6	16:22	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 25.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTL
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0
06.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0

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