Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.60	7.00
	1.33	4.50	6.75
	1.33	4.78	7.53	Watch
	1.27	4.45	6.75
	1.37	4.96	6.78	Watch
	1.34	4.8	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.68 ↓ (4.8)	6.75 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
67.5%

Draw
19.2%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

18.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

17.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Matuc A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Noworyta K. ⚽,
45+1', Jakubczyk P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 1 - 2, Krasa K. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Usovich M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Wigry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lidzbark Warmiński is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wigry is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Wigry won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
16	Lidzbark Warminski	11	2	3	6	16:22	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:5 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTTW
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wigry Suwałki	0:0
30.08.24	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1

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