Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Widzew Łódź II

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.70	3.10
	1.88	3.5	3.25
	1.97	3.7	3.45
	1.88	3.75	3.38	Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.4
	2.06	3.87	2.97	Watch
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)	3.63 ↑ (3.41)	3.16 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
46.2%

Draw
25%

Widzew Łódź II
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelikan Łowicz's performance.

Widzew Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Widzew Łódź II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelikan Łowicz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Widzew Łódź II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pelikan Łowicz - Widzew Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gryzio D. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Czeczko M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th and 10th).

In recent outings, Pelikan has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Widzew Łódź II has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pelikan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pelikan	11	6	2	3	17:13	4	20
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Pelikan Łowicz - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL
- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Widzew Łódź II	6:3 ✺
Polish Cup
15.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Widzew Łódź II	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

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