Match Info

1. MFL - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	AP Brera Strumica		Pelister

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.25	1.92
	3.51	3.41	1.87
	3.61	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.1	1.95
	3.64	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.32)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	1.91 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AP Brera Strumica
25.7%

Draw
27.2%

Pelister
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Brera Strumica's form might have worsened.

Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AP Brera Strumica - Pelister Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dikovski D. (G) 32. Antovski F. (C) 33. Arizankoski A. 26. Doshev G. 20. Ivanovski Z. 21. Lukovic L. 22. Mihailov F. 7. Petrovic L. 8. Todorov M. 9. Velickovski N. 23. Velkoski V.	1. Jovcevski A. (G) 28. Bulatovic L. 6. Grozdanovski H. 44. Ivanovski M. (C) 7. Kerim V. 21. Krstevski G. 24. Ristevski K. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 22. Srbijanac M. 5. Zdravkovic N.
Substitutes
28. Hassan W. 82. Iloski D. (G) 25. Kouakou K. Y. 88. Makic E. 10. Stojanov K. 24. Stojilevski M. 3. Velkov A. 91. Velkov B. 1. Vrgov S. (G)	17. Angelevski D. 23. Grozdanovski T. 2. Ivanovski S. 27. Milojevic L. 29. Mrmachovski J. 8. Petkovski P. 9. Petrovic F. 12. Petrovski I. (G) 4. Ristevski A. 15. Stojanovski H. 30. Zdravevski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ivanovski M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brera Strumica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
17.04.26	Sileks - AP Brera Strumica	4:0 ✺
14.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - AP Brera Strumica	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLL
- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.04.26	Pelister - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Arsimi - Pelister	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Pelister - Vardar	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pelister - Struga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.11.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:0
18.08.25	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	1:2
13.04.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:2
29.09.24	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	4:0
10.04.22	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	2:0
12.12.21	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	1:0
19.09.21	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	0:0

AP Brera Strumica - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide