Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Penafiel		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.00	3.00
	2.30	2.95	2.87
	2.20	3.05	3.00
	2.44	3.15	3.23
	2.28	3.09	3.31	Watch
	2.30	3.05	2.95
	2.30	3.14	3.14	Watch
	2.31	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.06 ↓ (3.08)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
40%

Draw
30%

Académica Coimbra
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Penafiel - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira Miguel (C) 5. Sanchez J. 6. Pica A. 3. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 8. Carbonell A. 21. Pedro Sa 75. Alloh T. 17. Pinto J. 9. Svensson M. 10. Davo	98. Alves C. (G) 15. Kaka 3. Teixeira R. 54. Ni 22. Lopes H. 17. Marcos Paulo 5. Silva L. (C) 20. Sinisterra J. 19. Rodrigues A. 10. Faure I. 7. Mane A.
Substitutes
85. Augusto C. 7. Douglas Borel 11. Fuentes J. 2. lano Imbene 99. Mendes C. 4. Miguel J. 18. Nifanso K. 23. Oliveira D. 38. Oliveira M. 13. Puerto E. (G) 33. Schutte R. 50. Varela F.	92. Coundoul A. 23. Gomes R. 13. Kauan 1. Macedo N. (G) 46. Nunes H. 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 4. Silva G. 26. Soares T. 9. Tavares M. 12. Victor Braga (G)
Coaches
Aira J.	Barbosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Moreira C. ↓, lano Imbene ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Pedro Sa ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
40', Lopes H. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Davo ⚽, Carbonell A. (A),
45+3', Pedro Sa 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Davo ↓, Varela F. ↑,
46', Sinisterra J. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
53', Carbonell A. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Pinto J. ⚽,
61', Faure I. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
61', Kaka ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
62', Svensson M. 🟨,
71', 4 - 0, Svensson M. ⚽,
73', Carbonell A. 🟨,
79', Marcos Paulo ↓, Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↑,
79', Teixeira R. ↓, Nunes H. ↑,
79', Svensson M. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
80', Schutte R. 🟨,
83', Pinto J. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
84', Sanchez J. ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
86', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
88', Negrao G. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Silva L. ⚽,
90+4', Oliveira Miguel 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Penafiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Penafiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13:5	8	13
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
30.08.26	Porto B - Penafiel	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Torreense - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Penafiel - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
29.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Feirense	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Chaves - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	0:0
05.12.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0
07.03.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	1:2
18.10.20	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	2:1
05.03.20	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	3:0
26.10.19	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0
02.03.19	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	2:1

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