Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Penafiel		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.9	3.4	3.85
	1.92	3.6	4.09
	1.86	3.61	3.9	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4
	1.87	3.52	3.92	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.13)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	3.86 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
49.3%

Draw
26.8%

Portimonense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Penafiel - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 6. Pica A. 5. Sanchez J. 3. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 8. Carbonell A. 21. Pedro Sa (C) 75. Alloh T. 17. Pinto J. 9. Svensson M. 10. Davo	1. Dudu (G) 3. Jarleysom 6. Neves S. 73. Junior M. 2. Edney 8. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 15. Xavier 17. Joao Reis (C) 18. Mamede 7. Djassi D. 11. Duda
Substitutes
85. Augusto C. 7. Douglas Borel 32. Femenias J. (G) 11. Fuentes J. 2. lano Imbene 29. Martins N. 4. Miguel J. 23. Oliveira D. 38. Oliveira M. 33. Schutte R.	70. Aguas G. 19. Cassama M. 23. Cibois S. (G) 4. Italo Cabelinho 44. Lagartinho (G) 79. Paulinho 36. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior
Coaches
Aira J.	Martins da Costa D. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Xavier 🟨,
23', Moreira C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duda ↓, Cassama M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Mamede ⚽,
66', Alloh T. ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
66', Moreira C. ↓, lano Imbene ↑,
78', Negrao G. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
82', Mamede ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
85', Davo ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
85', Carbonell A. ↓, Martins N. ↑,
86', Djassi D. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
90+4', Svensson M. 🟨,
90+8', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Italo Cabelinho ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 2.

Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Penafiel is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13:5	8	13
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Penafiel - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Penafiel - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Torreense - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Penafiel - Porto B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Portimonense SC
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Portimonense - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Portimonense - Rio Ave	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Portimonense - Farense	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Felgueiras - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Portimonense - Chaves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:2
09.08.25	Portimonense - Penafiel	2:1
21.02.25	Penafiel - Portimonense	3:0
28.09.24	Portimonense - Penafiel	0:2
Taça de Portugal
19.11.21	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:3
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.17	Penafiel - Portimonense	2:2
14.08.16	Portimonense - Penafiel	3:2

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