Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Penafiel		Leça

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.60	3.75	4.60
	1.58	3.85	4.9
	1.59	3.86	5.73
	1.62	3.78	4.89
	1.57	3.6	5.65
	1.66	3.93	4.48	Watch
	1.64	3.95	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	3.82 ↑ (3.79)	4.94 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
57.2%

Draw
24.1%

Leça
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Penafiel - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Puerto E. (G) 8. Carbonell A. 7. Douglas Borel 11. Fuentes J. 2. lano Imbene 99. Mendes C. 14. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 3. Moreira C. 33. Schutte R. 50. Varela F.	1. Paiva M. (G) 41. Cassio Scheid 22. Coutinho A. 31. David Rebelo 20. Ferreira R. 14. Maneta D. 11. Mesquita B. 8. Nuno Pereira 33. Pereira D. 10. Reis N. 23. Ribeiro D.
Substitutes
10. Davo 23. Oliveira D. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 21. Pedro Sa 6. Pica A. 17. Pinto J. 5. Sanchez J. 9. Svensson M. 79. Teixeira T.	88. Augusto T. 21. Avelino C. . Berna 27. Daniel Bruno (G) 66. Jurjonas E. 29. Makala J. 18. Miranda M. 5. Nunes D. 30. Torres Romario

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, David Rebelo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Penafiel is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Penafiel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Penafiel carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.26	Penafiel - AVS	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Penafiel - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Oliveirense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW
- Leça FC
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Leça - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Mortágua - Leça	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Trofense - Leça	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Leça - Fafe	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Leça	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.26	Farense - Penafiel	✺
- Leça FC
Portuguese Liga 3
23.10.26	Paços de Ferreira - Leça	✺

Penafiel - Leça: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide