Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Pendikspor		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.9	5
	1.61	4.04	5.26
				Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	3.9 ↓ (4.23)	5.09 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
58.5%

Draw
23.5%

Adanaspor
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pendikspor's form might have worsened.

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pendikspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Pendikspor - Adanaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canpolat E. (G) 66. Dogan F. 33. Ozturk A. 27. Akca M. 6. Sequeira 41. Ozdemir M. 8. Kilic H. 98. Topalli J. 60. Karadeniz B. 28. Del Valle Y. 22. Pektemek M.	55. Aslan N. (G) 77. Koc S. 12. Donkor I. 5. Hatipoglu H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 24. Sadiku L. 50. Kabak A. 9. Candeias D. 6. Cihan M. 21. Ivan A. 16. Cikalleshi S.
Substitutes
21. Calik E. 7. Demir M. 11. Denic D. 99. Kosar A. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 29. Mulele Lomboto A. 19. Ozgenc E. 81. Tekdal T. 80. Tunc Atac A. 23. Welinton	23. Alpsoy H. 87. Celikay K. (G) 11. Cinar O. 20. Ciss A. 7. Emeksiz D. 2. Fofana A. 64. Guzelbay C. 14. Innocent B. 22. Kurucuk F. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Agcay S.	Simsek Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Topalli J. ⚽, Pektemek M. (A),
20', Koc S. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Can Esendemir Y. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
46', Sadiku L. ↓, Fofana A. ↑,
67', Hatipoglu H. 🟨,
70', Cihan M. ↓, Ciss A. ↑,
74', Topalli J. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
78', Karadeniz B. 🟨,
79', Karadeniz B. ↓, Denic D. ↑,
82', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
83', Candeias D. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
86', Canpolat E. 🟨,
87', Pektemek M. ↓, Tekdal T. ↑,
90', Yildirim M. 🟥,
90+2', Aslan N. 🟨,
90+5', Denic D. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Pendikspor is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pendikspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
26.01.25	Kocaelispor - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pendikspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	4:0 ✺
10.01.25	Pendikspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWT
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
25.01.25	Adanaspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Erokspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Boluspor - Adanaspor	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Adanaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.08.24	Adanaspor - Pendikspor	3:4
05.11.22	Adanaspor - Pendikspor	3:2

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