Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Erokspor		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.8	3.56	4.4	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.81	3.52	4.07
	1.8	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)	3.5 ↓ (3.91)	4.23 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
51.8%

Draw
26.4%

Adanaspor
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erokspor's form might have worsened.

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Erokspor - Adanaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Adanaspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 77. Ceylan O. 14. Mert M. 5. Aytac S. 3. Korkmazoglu E. 20. Keser B. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 12. Kayode O. 9. Catakovic H. 21. Oscar Pinchi	55. Aslan N. (G) 26. Yildirim M. 22. Kurucuk F. (C) 5. Hatipoglu H. 2. Fofana A. 14. Innocent B. 23. Alpsoy H. 47. Yepie Yepie S. 21. Ivan A. 20. Ciss A. 16. Cikalleshi S.
Substitutes
53. Albayrak M. 80. Aydogmus B. 78. Fernandes J. 99. Furat E. I. 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 6. Laine J. 41. Narin S. 15. Nzaba F. 70. Orak F. 17. Toplu A.	17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 8. Cekici E. 87. Celikay K. (G) 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 61. Katipoglu F. 19. Midilic Y.
Coaches
Altiparmak M.	Simsek Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Kayode O. ⚽,
56', Hatipoglu H. 🟨,
60', Cikalleshi S. 🟨,
61', Innocent B. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
73', Catakovic H. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
76', Karaman A. 🟨,
79', Alpsoy H. 🟨,
82', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Narin S. ↑,
83', Ivan A. ↓, Emeksiz D. ↑,
86', Keser B. ↓, Nzaba F. ↑,
86', Yepie Yepie S. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
88', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
90+6', Kacar T. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Erokspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Adanaspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Adanaspor have a series of guest games.

In this match Erokspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Donkor I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Erokspor: Laine J. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Erokspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
11.01.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	4:0 ✺
22.12.24	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTLW
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
12.01.25	Boluspor - Adanaspor	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Adanaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.08.24	Adanaspor - Erokspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Adanaspor - Erokspor	2:0

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