Match Info

1. Lig - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk


	Pendikspor		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.50	1.70	Watch
	3.90	3.50	1.72
	3.80	3.55	1.74	Watch
	4.25	3.96	1.80
	4.21	3.75	1.77	Watch
	4.10	3.90	1.76
	4.20	3.68	1.79	Watch
	4.10	3.65	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.93)	3.69 ↑ (3.66)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
22.6%

Draw
25%

Kayserispor
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

24.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pendikspor - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Kayserispor (1.85) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Daduk E. (G) 22. Kalafat K. 2. Ince T. E. 6. Soldo V. 17. Abifade S. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 7. Bassan E. 60. Karadeniz B. 14. Yesil H. 34. Rogerio Thuram 9. Clarke-Harris J.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Guler S. (C) 3. Tabidze J. 22. Radu D. 9. Hasani F. 8. Kurt S. 61. Saglam G. 10. Keser B. 27. Moreno D. 97. Seferi T.
Substitutes
66. Dogan F. 25. Fomujang F. 23. Gokce E. 88. Hrelja D. 99. Kiprit M. 4. Ozkaya A. 28. Pekdemir E. 20. Sonmez Y. 77. Ugur A. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)	6. Akpinar M. 71. Caglayan O. 28. Camara M. 5. Cihan K. 16. Donmezer D. (G) 88. Dulca M. 17. Gockan M. 38. Karapinar A. T. 11. Kemaloglu E. 18. Ozer F.
Coaches
Akdemir F.	Gerin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Moreno D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Clarke-Harris J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Ince T. E. 🟥,
56', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Keser B. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Ozkaya A. ↑,
65', Radu D. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Hasani F. ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
75', Ozdemir M. ↓, Sonmez Y. ↑,
75', Bassan E. ↓, Pekdemir E. ↑,
76', Rogerio Thuram 🟨,
80', Rogerio Thuram ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
80', Abifade S. ↓, Dogan F. ↑,
83', Keser B. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
90+2', Karadeniz B. 🟨,
90+4', Kalafat K. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Kiprit M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - Super Lig).

Recent results have been tough for Pendikspor (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Kayserispor is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Kayserispor is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pendikspor has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pendikspor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	26:9	17	27
16	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	14:23	-9	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pendikspor - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
19.10.26	Bursaspor - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Pendikspor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Pendikspor - Galatasaray	3:3 ✺
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Pendikspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTT
- Kayserispor
Turkish First League
18.10.26	Kayserispor - Batman Petrolspor	2:2 ✺
14.10.26	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	0:4 ✺
10.10.26	Kayserispor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
28.04.24	Pendikspor - Kayserispor	1:2
10.12.23	Kayserispor - Pendikspor	2:0

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