Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche (Peniche)


	Peniche		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.05	2.72
	2.86	2.92	2.42
	2.51	3.09	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.41	3.05	2.7
	2.83	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
34.9%

Draw
30.3%

União da Serra
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Peniche - União da Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Peniche has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União da Serra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Peniche - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Peniche - Eléctrico	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Peniche	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória de Sernache - Peniche	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWL
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	União da Serra - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	União da Serra - Lajense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWL

Peniche - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide