The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreton City Excelsior 41.6%
Draw 24.6%
Queensland Lions 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
24.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.1%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton City Excelsior's performance.
Queensland Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queensland Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton City Excelsior that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queensland Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).
Moreton City is Qualified for NPL Queensland (Play Offs )
Lions is Qualified for NPL Queensland (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 1.
In recent matches, Moreton City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lions is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Moreton City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lions has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
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