Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 19

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Wolter Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Moreton City Excelsior		Peninsula Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.80	2.60
	2.28	3.95	2.35
	2.53	4.41	2.33
	2.07	4.49	2.62	Watch
	2.35	4.35	2.25
	2.46	4.39	2.3	Watch
	2.35	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior
39.6%

Draw
21.9%

Peninsula Power
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

24.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Peninsula Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moreton City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Peninsula will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Peninsula is Qualified for NPL Queensland (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Moreton City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian NPL Queensland
11.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Magic United	4:3 ✺
04.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Wynnum Wolves	2:2 ✺
16.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton City Excelsior	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTW
- Peninsula Power
Australian Cup
14.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Peninsula Power	2:1 ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
10.07.26	Peninsula Power - Wynnum Wolves	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Peninsula Power - Brisbane Roar U23	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Olympic FC - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
18.04.26	Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior	1:4
17.06.25	Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior	0:2
10.05.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power	3:3
01.09.24	Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power	4:3 ET
10.08.24	Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power	1:3
11.05.24	Peninsula Power - Moreton City Excelsior	0:0

Moreton City Excelsior - Peninsula Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide