The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Giovanni 8.4%
Draw 17.9%
Tre Fiori 73.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.4%
19.8%
66.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.9%
19%
69.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tre Fiori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
San Giovanni - Tre Fiori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Sirri A. ⚽, Benedettini F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Benedettini F. ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Pesaresi F. ⚽, Sami B. (A),
84', 0 - 4, Bernardi T. L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1.
San Giovanni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tre Fiori is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tre Fiori is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
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