Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Penya Independent		Lleida

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.25	1.68
	6.5	3.6	1.53	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.58
	5.68	3.43	1.58
	6	3.55	1.53
	4.9	3.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (3.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.1)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
16.5%

Draw
26.1%

Lleida
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

29%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

28.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penya Independent's form might have worsened.

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lleida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lleida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Penya Independent - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Penya Independent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lleida is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lleida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lleida is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.11.23	Badalona Futur - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Penya Independent - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Manresa - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Penya Independent - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alzira - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TWTLT
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.11.23	Lleida - Andratx	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sant Andreu - Lleida	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lleida - Torrent	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Formentera - Lleida	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lleida - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLW

Penya Independent - Lleida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide