Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 254


	Pergolettese		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.41	3.1	2.24
	3.4	3.15	2.21	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.21	3.1	2.16	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.19 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
28.7%

Draw
29.3%

FeralpiSalò
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FeralpiSalò's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FeralpiSalò, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 4. Arini M. (C) 15. Stante F. 3. Lambrughi A. 16. Albertini A. 21. Careccia S. 17. Scarsella F. 80. Jaouhari Z. 2. Tonoli D. 19. Basili D. 7. Piu A.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 16. Luciani A. 35. Cabianca E. 5. Pasini N. 99. Pietrelli A. 27. Hergheligiu D. 8. Balestrero D. 20. Zennaro M. 3. Rizzo A. 45. Maistrello T. 7. Dubickas E.
Substitutes
70. Abubakar S. 5. Bignami R. 92. Bouabre E. 33. Capoferri M. 11. Cerasani J. 12. Dordoni S. (G) 26. Lecchi M. 6. Mondele L. 34. Olivieri E. 9. Parker S. 22. Raimondi P. (G) 27. Sartori G. 24. Schiavini A.	24. Boci B. 75. Brambilla A. 21. Cavuoti N. 11. Giudici L. 22. Liverani L. (G) 12. Lovato E. (G) 2. Motti F. 4. Musatti M. 9. Pellegrini J. 19. Pilati A. 30. Tahiri A. 63. Verzeletti M.

Preview

Pergolettese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches FeralpiSalò is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FeralpiSalò will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.24	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pergolettese - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
26.08.24	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.24	Pergolettese - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pro Patria - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Renate - FeralpiSalò	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	FeralpiSalò - Novara	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Padova - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.01.23	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	0:1
17.09.22	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	1:0
02.04.22	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	1:1
27.11.21	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	6:0
Club Friendly
13.08.21	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	1:5

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