Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Padova		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.67	3.6	5.24
	1.73	3.58	4.8	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.61	3.52	5.17	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)	5 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
55.8%

Draw
25.8%

FeralpiSalò
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Padova - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 14. Villa L. 21. Liguori M. 7. Varas K. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 19. Pilati A. 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 99. Pietrelli A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 20. Zennaro M. 24. Boci B. 21. Cavuoti N. 10. Di Molfetta D. 45. Maistrello T.
Substitutes
99. Beccaro A. 15. Bianchi N. 29. Broh J. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 10. Russini S. 19. Valente N. 12. Voltan M. (G)	75. Brambilla A. 35. Cabianca E. 7. Dubickas E. 27. Hergheligiu D. 33. Letizia G. 22. Liverani L. (G) 12. Lovato E. (G) 16. Luciani A. 2. Motti F. 4. Musatti M. 9. Pellegrini J. 30. Tahiri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Fusi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Balestrero D. 🟨,
57', Varas K. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
57', Fusi P. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
65', Maistrello T. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
65', Cavuoti N. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
66', Zennaro M. 🟨,
66', Liguori M. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
67', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 2.

Padova in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

FeralpiSalò is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FeralpiSalò could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Padova to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Padova won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:15 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:5 (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Pro Patria - Padova	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Padova - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
20.09.24	Pro Vercelli - Padova	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.24	FeralpiSalò - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	FeralpiSalò - AlbinoLeffe	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Vicenza Virtus - FeralpiSalò	1:0 ✺
25.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Padova - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.23	FeralpiSalò - Padova	0:0
03.10.22	Padova - FeralpiSalò	1:1
06.03.22	Padova - FeralpiSalò	1:0
25.10.21	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.21	Padova - FeralpiSalò	4:0
22.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Padova	3:1

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