Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Pero Pinheiro		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.5	1.63	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.66
	5.31	3.89	1.79
	5.31	3.89	1.66
	4.85	3.74	1.59
	4	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.42)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)	1.68 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
19.5%

Draw
25.3%

Atlético CP
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pero Pinheiro's form might have worsened.

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético CP's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pero Pinheiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético CP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 17. Pinheiro L. 44. Lourenco M. 66. Antunes B. 19. Oliveira K. 8. Pedrosa A. 7. Ze Maria 50. Varela F. 11. Bastos F. 72. Chiquinho 15. Agrelos G.	1. Lemos F. (G) 77. Pala F. 4. Tembeng N. (C) 20. Daniel Almeida 26. Freitas J. 29. Dinamite D. 31. Paulinho 19. Martins T. 21. Morgado T. 7. Rosario T. 17. Silva D.
Substitutes
30. Bissula M. 9. Carvalho R. 5. Figueroa J. 10. Galamba A. 32. Miguel Verissimo 99. Osei S. 26. Pires D. 4. Rodeia M. 1. Soares M. (G)	23. Almeida B. 9. Balotelli 8. Goncalves Ferreira F. G. 80. Horta Leitao D. 3. Jesus J. 70. Pinhao N. (G) 88. Pinto P. 48. Pipas Filipe 24. Ventosa H.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Pero Pinheiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético CP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Atlético CP have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético CP is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pero Pinheiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.23	Covilhã - Pero Pinheiro	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Pero Pinheiro - Sporting Lisbon B	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Pero Pinheiro - Serpa	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.23	Caldas - Pero Pinheiro	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Pero Pinheiro - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLWL
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.23	Atlético CP - Caldas	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Atlético CP - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.10.23	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Atlético CP - Amora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.08.23	Atlético CP - Pero Pinheiro	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.06.23	Pero Pinheiro - Atlético CP	1:2
14.05.23	Atlético CP - Pero Pinheiro	2:2

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