Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 7

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Pero Pinheiro		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.91	3.48	1.79
	4.45	3.35	1.73
	4.4	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.43)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
20.4%

Draw
26.8%

Académica Coimbra
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 17. Pinheiro L. 44. Lourenco M. 6. Hilario J. (C) 19. Oliveira K. 27. Pedrosa A. 32. Miguel Verissimo 26. Pires D. 99. Osei S. 18. Salo 72. Chiquinho	98. Alves C. (G) 22. Xico 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 18. Stitch (C) 24. D'Avilla D. 11. Teles D. 16. Gomes V. 19. Veiga T. 79. Silva J. 21. Victor J.
Substitutes
11. Bastos F. 30. Bissula M. 9. Carvalho R. 10. Galamba A. 22. Loureiro T. 4. Rodeia M. 1. Soares M. (G) 50. Varela F. 7. Ze Maria	33. Gabriel V. 17. Henrique L. 7. Hirosawa T. 10. Lourenco F. 9. Perea J. 30. Rodrigues M. 91. Santos B. (G) 26. Santos Outeiro D. 42. Tavares A.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Pero Pinheiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Académica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	União de Tomar - Pero Pinheiro	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Oliveira Hospital - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Pero Pinheiro - Caldas	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Pero Pinheiro - Amora	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLL
- Académica Coimbra
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.09.23	Académica Coimbra - União de Coimbra	3:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

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