The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pero Pinheiro 58.7%
Draw 24.1%
União da Serra 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.5%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 10).
Pero Pinheiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
União da Serra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Pero Pinheiro is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Pero Pinheiro to win the game is with odds 1.54.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.