Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Loures		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.87
	4	2.85	1.9
	4.38	3.05	1.93
	4	3.22	1.9
	4.1	3.1	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (4.29)	3.04 ↓ (3.6)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
22.3%

Draw
29.8%

Pero Pinheiro
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.1%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.2%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pero Pinheiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loures than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pero Pinheiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loures won 2.

Loures is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pero Pinheiro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Pero Pinheiro is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Loures won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Loures won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Coruchense - Loures	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Loures - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	União de Santarém - Loures	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
29.01.23	Loures - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLL
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Arronches Benfica - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - Coruchense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Sintrense - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	2:0
29.01.22	Loures - Pero Pinheiro	3:1
31.10.21	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	2:1
03.04.21	Loures - Pero Pinheiro	1:0
03.01.21	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	0:0
04.02.18	Loures - Pero Pinheiro	1:1
17.09.17	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	0:1

Loures - Pero Pinheiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide