Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Sertanense		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.02	3.02	3.84
	1.94	3.04	3.92
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.12)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
45.3%

Draw
30.3%

Pero Pinheiro
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertanense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pero Pinheiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pero Pinheiro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sertanense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.02.25	Alverca B - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Pombal - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWLLT
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Marinhense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Peniche	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Alcains	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1
11.12.22	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	2:3
01.05.22	Pero Pinheiro - Sertanense	0:0
20.03.22	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1

Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide