Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sportdigital+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Philippines	Matchday+
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Persepolis		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.18	3.3	2.9
	2.27	3.49	3.13
	2.25	3.38	3.09	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.9
	2.42	2.99	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (4.9)	3.28 ↓ (4.2)	3.04 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persepolis
40.9%

Draw
28.4%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.7%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.8%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persepolis's performance.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persepolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+28.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Nassr Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Persepolis - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 55 - 88.7%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 80.8% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guendouz A. (G) 2. Alishah O. (C) 6. Kanaani H. 8. Pouraliganji M. 4. Mohammadi M. 77. Khodabandelou M. 7. Rafiei S. 5. Rigi M. 20. El Amloud A. 91. Dursun S. 11. Ahmadzadeh F.	36. Al Najjar R. (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 4. Al Fatil M. 50. Qasheesh M. 11. Brozovic M. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. (C) 23. Yahya A. 16. Maran M. 29. Ghareeb A. 20. Angelo
Substitutes
9. Alipour A. 10. Alkasir I. 18. Babaei Yekta Abolfazl 14. Enayatzadeh A. 3. Faraji F. 30. Gvelesiani G. 67. Hajizadeh H. 29. Khodadadi A. 27. Mehri S. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 76. Sahraei S. 80. Salmani Y.	61. Al Buainain M. (G) 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 54. bin Salem F. 58. Hazazi M. 78. Lajami A. 27. Laporte A. 10. Mane S.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Kanaani H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Dursun S. 🟨,
60', Ahmadzadeh F. ↓, Alipour A. ↑,
61', Rigi M. ↓, Mehri S. ↑,
65', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
65', Qasheesh M. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
71', Boushal N. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
72', Mehri S. 🟨,
73', Alishah O. ↓, Salmani Y. ↑,
82', Dursun S. ↓, Alkasir I. ↑,
84', Yahya A. ↓, Hazazi M. ↑,
90+4', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Persepolis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Nassr is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persepolis FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
12.02.25	Sepahan - Persepolis	3:2 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
08.02.25	Persepolis - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.02.25	Al-Hilal - Persepolis	4:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
31.01.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Persepolis - Tractor Sazi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTW
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
13.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Feiha	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Wasl	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
30.01.25	Al Raed - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
27.11.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Persepolis	0:0
19.09.23	Persepolis - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2
03.10.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Persepolis	1:2 penalties
08.04.15	Persepolis - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0
17.03.15	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Persepolis	3:0

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