Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Persepolis		Sepahan

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.48	3.05
	2.48	3.09	2.86	Watch
	2.7	2.4	3
	2.66	2.47	3.04	Watch
	2.71	2.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.99 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persepolis
34.3%

Draw
35.3%

Sepahan
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

33.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

32.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persepolis's form might have worsened.

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sepahan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persepolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sepahan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Persepolis - Sepahan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sepahan (4.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niazmand P. (G) 3. Barajeh Y. 6. Kanaani H. 8. Pouraliganji M. 4. Mohammadi M. 69. Kazemian A. 77. Khodabandelou M. 10. Sarlak M. 7. Rafiei S. 9. Alipour A. 70. Urunov O.	21. Hosseini H. (G) 14. Yousefi A. 58. Daneshgar M. 55. Hazbavi M. 28. Hajsafi E. 10. Alves R. 6. Haji Eidi A. 23. Sanchez I. 9. Rezaei K. 22. Crivelli E. 79. Lotfi M.
Substitutes
2. Alishah O. 18. Babaei Yekta Abolfazl 88. Bakic M. 14. Enayatzadeh A. 44. Homaeifard A. 34. Mahmoudi A. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 45. Saeed Sadeghi 76. Sahraei S. 19. Sergeev I. 81. Shekari R.	20. Aliyari M. 27. Arabi A. A. 30. Gvelesiani G. 12. Kamali A. 66. Khanonov V. 33. Maghsoudi A. (G) 2. Mohammadi H. 19. Noorafkan O. 77. Pouria R. 18. Zakipour M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Sarlak M. 🟨,
42', Yousefi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Khodabandelou M. ↓, Bakic M. ↑,
46', Sarlak M. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
46', Crivelli E. ↓, Aliyari M. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Urunov O. ⚽, Mohammadi M. (A),
72', 2 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽, Urunov O. (A),
76', Rezaei K. ↓, Noorafkan O. ↑,
81', Haji Eidi A. 🟨,
81', Rafiei S. 🟨,
86', Kazemian A. ↓, Alishah O. ↑,
90+5', Sergeev I. 🟥,
90+12', Alipour A. ↓, Sahraei S. ↑,
90+13', 2 - 1, Alves R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persepolis won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Persepolis has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sepahan has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Persepolis won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Persepolis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Persepolis	6	4	1	1	12:3	9	13
5	Sepahan	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persepolis FC
Iran Pro League
18.01.26	Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
18.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Persepolis	2:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
14.12.25	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Paykan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW
- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
17.01.26	Sepahan - Malavan	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Sepahan - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Sepahan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Sepahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
25.08.25	Sepahan - Persepolis	0:1
18.04.25	Persepolis - Sepahan	0:2
Iran Hazfi Cup
12.02.25	Sepahan - Persepolis	3:2 ET
Iran Super Cup
17.01.25	Persepolis - Sepahan	0:1
Iran Pro League
16.12.24	Sepahan - Persepolis	2:1
01.05.24	Persepolis - Sepahan	0:0
12.11.23	Sepahan - Persepolis	1:0

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