Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Fajr Sepasi		Persepolis

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.72	2.18
	4.49	2.97	1.95	Watch
	3.7	2.63	2.15
	4.17	2.66	2.21	Watch
	3.8	2.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.5)	2.72 ↓ (2.8)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
23%

Draw
33.8%

Persepolis
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

31.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

30.8%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persepolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persepolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fajr Sepasi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Persepolis will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Rezaei A. (G) 11. Moradi M. 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 3. Helichi A. 14. Niknafs Z. 4. Jafarikia S. 6. Rigi M. 8. Esmaeili F. 18. Rezaei M. 17. Shahabi H.	1. Niazmand P. (G) 3. Barajeh Y. 6. Kanaani H. 8. Pouraliganji M. 4. Mohammadi M. 69. Kazemian A. 10. Sarlak M. 7. Rafiei S. 70. Urunov O. 9. Alipour A. 81. Shekari R.
Substitutes
. Babaei P. 9. Bozorg S. 23. Firooz F. 1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 30. Moslemi Javid M. 70. Nokhodkar H. 19. Rostami Y. 12. Vosoughifard A. 7. Zare S.	2. Alishah O. 18. Babaei Yekta Abolfazl 23. Bifouma T. 14. Enayatzadeh A. 44. Homaeifard A. 77. Khodabandelou M. 34. Mahmoudi A. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 45. Saeed Sadeghi 76. Sahraei S. 19. Sergeev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Shahabi H. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Shekari R. ⚽, Alipour A. (A),
31', Jafarikia S. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 0.

Fajr Sepasi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Persepolis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Persepolis is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Persepolis	6	4	1	1	12:3	9	13
11	Fajr Sepasi	6	1	4	1	3:3	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
26.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Malavan - Fajr Sepasi	0:4 ✺
10.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Sepahan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLT
- Persepolis FC
Iran Pro League
26.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
18.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Persepolis	2:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
14.12.25	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Paykan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
18.08.25	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
02.06.22	Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis	0:1
13.01.22	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
09.02.14	Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis	1:1
26.09.13	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
30.12.12	Fajr Sepasi - Persepolis	0:2
24.07.12	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	N/A

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