Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday

Location: Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium (Jepara)


	Persijap Jepara		Persela Lamongan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.7	2.7
				Watch
	2.67	2.8	3.2
	2.53	2.73	3.06	Watch
	2.62	2.75	2.62
	2.42	2.93	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.84)	2.78 ↓ (3.33)	2.9 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persijap Jepara
35.7%

Draw
32.8%

Persela Lamongan
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persijap Jepara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persijap Jepara's form might have worsened.

Persela Lamongan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persela Lamongan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persijap Jepara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persela Lamongan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Persijap Jepara - Persela Lamongan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansah S. (G) 4. Afriyanto F. 37. Alamsah Z. 98. Gwijangge S. 14. Hidayat R. 77. Hidayat R. 3. Rakhmatzoda R. 10. Rosalvo (C) 21. Saepul R. 5. Widiansyah R. 17. Zamrun Z.	29. Reimas S. (G) 24. Adiatama Y. 18. Al Achya A. 5. Garcia F. 30. Gatra B. 22. Kim Do-hyun 23. Kipuw H. (C) 10. N'Douassel E. 15. Pasamba F. 12. Utina R. 8. Vizcarra E.
Substitutes
23. Akbar R. 13. Akram F. 8. Alfayed D. 9. Ardiana A. 26. Delpi S. 35. Halomoan D. 87. Ihsan F. 22. Imam Arief (G) 7. Indra Arya 70. Kallon P. 24. Laly D.	16. Adrian M. 28. Aldama B. 21. Andiko B. (G) 7. Bawuo R. 44. Ciptady I. 57. Drajat R. 32. Febrianto W. 89. Lee Yu-jun 88. Lestaluhu R. 4. Prahalabenta R. 17. Rama A. R. 9. Samsul Arif

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Garcia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Vizcarra E. ↓, Febrianto W. ↑,
63', Gwijangge S. ↓, Ohorella F. ↑,
70', Zamrun Z. ↓, Kallon P. ↑,
72', Kim Do-hyun ↓, Lestaluhu R. ↑,
79', Al Achya A. ↓, Aldama B. ↑,
80', N'Douassel E. 🟨,
80', Hidayat R. ↓, Indra Arya ↑,
81', Gatra B. ↓, Adrian M. ↑,
88', Adiatama Y. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Persijap Jepara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persela Lamongan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Persela Lamongan have a series of home games.

Persijap Jepara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Persijap Jepara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Persijap Jepara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persijap Jepara
Indonesian Championship
21.01.25	Bhayangkara - Persijap Jepara	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Bhayangkara - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
05.01.25	Persijap Jepara - Isenmulang Kalteng	0:0 ✺
18.12.24	Persijap Jepara - Nusantara United	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Persikas Subang - Persijap Jepara	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWW
- Persela Lamongan
Indonesian Championship
21.01.25	Persela Lamongan - PSKC Cimahi	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Persela Lamongan - Persipal Palu	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Persela Lamongan - Persibo Bojonegoro	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	RANS Nusantara - Persela Lamongan	0:3 ✺
06.12.24	Persela Lamongan - Persipura Jayapura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
05.11.23	Persijap Jepara - Persela Lamongan	0:0
10.09.23	Persela Lamongan - Persijap Jepara	2:0
01.10.22	Persijap Jepara - Persela Lamongan	2:2

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