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Current Win Probability
Persik Kediri 45.2%
Draw 26.9%
Arema 27.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
26.2%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
26.3%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persik Kediri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persik Kediri than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Persik Kediri - Arema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Navacchio (G) 19. Sanjaya R. 16. Hehanusa H. 85. Firly M. 14. Hehanussa R. 6. Bayu Otto 8. Castanheira T. 11. Jayanto A. E. (C) 7. Gomez E. 21. Jose Enrique 66. Luna A.
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 5. Walisson Maia 28. Betinho 23. Rifai M. 2. Fahmi R. 77. Gustavo Franca 25. Matheus Blade 8. Fikri A. (C) 4. Guntara L. 94. Dalberto 7. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
17. Abimanyu S. 13. Aditama F. 33. Al Malik H. (G) 22. Herdiana H. 55. Meneses Chechu 29. Mila I. 99. Munawar Y. 77. Ray R. 90. Rodrigo Dias 25. Setiawan N. 23. Supriadi M. 42. Yagalo V.
13. Balinsa S. G. 87. Farisi A. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 9. Joel Vinicius 12. Marasabessy M. 17. Mardiyanto D. 18. Pandenuwu G. (G) 41. Santoso D. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci
Coaches
Reina M.
Marquinhos S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gomez E. ⚽, Castanheira T. (A),
14', Guntara L. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Castanheira T. ⚽, Bayu Otto (A),
43', 3 - 0, Gomez E. ⚽, Bayu Otto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rifai M. ↓, Tuharea S. ↑,
46', Fikri A. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
46', Guntara L. ↓, Farisi A. ↑,
51', Betinho 🟨,
61', Gustavo Franca ↓, Joel Vinicius ↑,
63', Jayanto A. E. ↓, Yagalo V. ↑,
63', Jose Enrique ↓, Rodrigo Dias ↑,
66', Hehanusa H. 🟨,
74', Luna A. 🟨,
78', Gabriel Silva ↓, Valdeci ↑,
81', Castanheira T. ↓, Abimanyu S. ↑,
81', Luna A. ↓, Supriadi M. ↑,
83', Walisson Maia 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Dalberto ⚽, Tuharea S. (A),
90+6', Bayu Otto ↓, Munawar Y. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Walisson Maia ⚽,
90+8', Leo Navacchio 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persik Kediri won 4.
Recent form of Persik Kediri has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arema's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Arema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Persik Kediri could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Persik Kediri won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Persik Kediri won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).