The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arema 25.1%
Draw 24.2%
Java United 50.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.5%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27.4%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arema's form might have worsened.
Java United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Java United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Java United than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Java United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Arema - Java United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Java United will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Java United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 2. Fahmi R. 23. Rifai M. 66. Yama H. 87. Farisi A. (C) 6. Guevara J. 14. Hariono J. 8. Fikri A. 7. Gabriel Silva 77. Gustavo Franca 11. Tuharea S.
1. Saputro A. (G) 6. Igor Inocencio 2. Nilson Junior 4. Gustavo (C) 23. Sayuri Y. 10. Tyronne 16. Angulo W. 56. Syuhada R. 21. Butuan F. 17. da Silva D. 7. Ciro
Substitutes
15. Arjidan F. 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Fachrezi R. 4. Guntara L. 96. Iksan M. 31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 17. Mardiyanto D. 18. Pandenuwu G. (G) 41. Santoso D. 72. Setiawan B. 27. Setiawan D. 10. Valdeci
94. Alan (G) 8. Cardoso L. 29. David S. 9. Drajad M. 96. Lestaluhu A. 69. Lestusen M. 22. Ridwan M. (G) 19. Rustam T. 12. Sayuri Y. 88. Slamat A. 27. Tahar S.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.
Susilo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Yama H. ⚽, Gustavo Franca (A),
42', 1 - 1, da Silva D. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Butuan F. ↓, Sayuri Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nilson Junior ↓, Cardoso L. ↑,
46', Syuhada R. ↓, Tahar S. ↑,
50', Cardoso L. 🟨,
53', Satryo A. ↓, Lucas Frigeri ↑,
76', Tuharea S. ↓, Valdeci ↑,
76', Farisi A. ↓, Guntara L. ↑,
90+1', Ciro ↓, Rustam T. ↑,
90+3', Fikri A. ↓, Mardiyanto D. ↑,
90+3', Gustavo Franca ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
Arema is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Malut United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Malut United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arema won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Arema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.