The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 39.8%
Draw 26.6%
Persik Kediri 33.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
26%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
24.9%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Persik Kediri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persik Kediri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Madura United - Persik Kediri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 4. Wehrmann J. 5. Palic K. 10. Iran Junior 77. Alesandro F. 9. Junior Brandao 11. Lulinha (C)
1. Leo Navacchio (G) 85. Firly M. 16. Hehanusa H. (C) 55. Meneses Chechu 19. Sanjaya R. 5. Toral J. 4. Garcia I. 66. Luna A. 14. Hehanussa R. 7. Gomez E. 21. Jose Enrique
Substitutes
25. Afrisal R. 23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P. 28. Vedhayanto K.
17. Abimanyu S. 33. Al Malik H. (G) 6. Bayu Otto 8. Castanheira T. 11. Jayanto A. E. 29. Mila I. 99. Munawar Y. 77. Ray R. 90. Rodrigo Dias 25. Setiawan N. 23. Supriadi M. 42. Yagalo V.
Coaches
Basuki R.
Reina M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Sanjaya R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Alesandro F. ⚽, Wehrmann J. (A),
45+3', Numberi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Lulinha 🟨,
57', Toral J. 🟨,
61', Iran Junior ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
61', Numberi G. ↓, Sasongko N. ↑,
62', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Sanjaya R. ⚽, Garcia I. (A),
71', Jose Enrique ↓, Rodrigo Dias ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Riquelme ⚽, Alesandro F. (A),
79', Meneses Chechu ↓, Munawar Y. ↑,
79', Sanjaya R. ↓, Supriadi M. ↑,
80', Lulinha ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
90+3', Toral J. ↓, Castanheira T. ↑,
90+3', Luna A. ↓, Bayu Otto ↑,
90+4', Alesandro F. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
90+6', Rusadi A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 3.
Madura United is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Persik Kediri is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Indonesia
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Diky M. (G) 
Monteiro P. 
Ruxi 
Wehrmann J. 
Palic K. 
Iran Junior 
Luna A. 
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