Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Percy Doyle Reserve (Perth)


	Perth RedStar		Queensland Lions

	1	X	2
	4.5	5	1.55	Watch
	4.6	4.4	1.49
	5	4.5	1.47	Watch
	5.19	4.65	1.52
	4.82	4.59	1.56
	4.8	4.6	1.44
	4.85	4.6	1.53	Watch
	4.5	4.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (2.75)	4.61 ↑ (4.02)	1.51 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth RedStar
19.2%

Draw
19.9%

Queensland Lions
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

22.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth RedStar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perth RedStar's form might have worsened.

Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queensland Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth RedStar than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perth RedStar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queensland Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Perth RedStar - Queensland Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: Queensland Lions will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Reddy L. (G) 15. Leeming O. 3. Govan B. 20. Palmer A. 25. Walsh N. 6. George M. 4. Hughes D. 9. O'Shea S. 7. Chianese J. 17. Nicol D. 34. Leeming T.	1. Pond C. (G) 23. Beakhurst F. 16. Minett J. 4. Ramazani H. 3. Hart-Phillips J. 22. Enticknap J. 10. Duckworth J. 7. Fiechtner A. 12. Carlos S. 20. Skinner J. 9. Pengelly A.
Substitutes
30. Bafford B. 31. Connolly J. 10. Dukuly G. 19. Finnie R. 55. Gojak M. 18. Katz D. 13. Weale N.	24. Babbage F. 90. Borean L. (G) 14. Brindell-South J. 11. Broderick L. 2. Horwood D. 17. Naouri N. 19. Vallabh P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 1 - 0, George M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Pengelly A. ⚽,
43', Chianese J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 2, Minett J. ⚽, Beakhurst F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pengelly A. ↓, Broderick L. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Broderick L. ⚽, Carlos S. (A),
59', O'Shea S. ↓, Weale N. ↑,
59', Leeming T. ↓, Bafford B. ↑,
69', Skinner J. ↓, Vallabh P. ↑,
69', Beakhurst F. ↓, Brindell-South J. ↑,
71', 1 - 4, Fiechtner A. ⚽,
78', Enticknap J. ↓, Naouri N. ↑,
85', Hart-Phillips J. ↓, Horwood D. ↑,
86', Chianese J. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
86', George M. ↓, Katz D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Perth RedStar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lions is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lions could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lions is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth RedStar
Australian NPL Western Australia
27.07.24	Perth RedStar - Stirling Macedonia	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Fremantle City - Perth RedStar	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Perth RedStar - Bayswater City	3:2 ✺
06.07.24	Olympic Kingsway - Perth RedStar	2:2 ✺
29.06.24	Perth RedStar - Armadale	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWTW
- Queensland Lions
Australian NPL Queensland
19.07.24	Queensland Lions - Redlands United	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	0:3 ✺
22.06.24	Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	4:0 ✺
16.06.24	Brisbane Roar U23 - Queensland Lions	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWWW

Perth RedStar - Queensland Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide