Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima (Lima)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	SporTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
France	DAZN 1
Malaysia	Astro SuperSport 4
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	America TV, ATV, Movistar App, Movistar Deportes
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	AUFTV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Simple Plus, Venevision
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Peru		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	5	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.75	3	1.87
	5	3.2	1.9
	5.13	3.16	1.94
	4.86	3.23	1.87	Watch
	4	3.25	1.91
	5.03	3.38	1.92	Watch
	5	3.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.36)	3.19 ↓ (3.32)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peru
19.7%

Draw
30%

Uruguay
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

28.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	34.8%	60.9%

Peru - Uruguay Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Peru will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Uruguay will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) Orlando City 15. Araujo M. Portland Timbers 5. Zambrano C. (C) A. Lima 22. Callens A. AEK 19. Sonne O. Silkeborg 7. Polo A. Universitario de Deportes 13. Castillo J. Gil Vicente 10. Pena S. Malmo FF 2. Abram L. Atlanta United 23. Valera A. Universitario de Deportes 20. Flores E. Universitario de Deportes	1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 4. Fonseca N. River Plate 2. Bueno S. Wolves 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 15. Valverde F. (C) Real Madrid 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 10. de Arrascaeta G. Flamengo RJ 17. Olivera C. Los Angeles FC 9. Nunez D. Liverpool 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
14. Archimbaud J. P. FBC Melgar 12. Caceda C. (G) FBC Melgar 17. Calcaterra H. Universitario de Deportes 3. Corzo A. Universitario de Deportes 4. Garces R. A. Lima 18. Grimaldo J. Partizan 6. Murrugarra J. Universitario de Deportes 8. Quispe Cordova P. A. U.N.A.M.- Pumas 9. Ramos L. Cusco 11. Reyna B. CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16. Rivera J. Universitario de Deportes 21. Romero D. (G) Universitario de Deportes	22. Abaldo M. Gimnasia L.P. 18. Bernal F. Fluminense 7. de la Cruz N. Flamengo RJ 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 14. Martinez E. Midtjylland 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 16. Mourino S. Alaves 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 3. Rodriguez J. Vasco 19. Rodriguez L. Bahia 6. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 21. Torres F. Orlando City
Coaches
Fossati J.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olivera C. ↓, Pellistri F. ↑,
71', Flores E. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
72', Callens A. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
82', Valera A. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
82', Sonne O. ↓, Archimbaud J. P. ↑,
84', Nandez N. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Araujo M. ⚽, Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
90', Nandez N. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
90', Pena S. ↓, Garces R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peru won 1.

In this match Uruguay is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Peru won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peru
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Ecuador - Peru	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Peru - Colombia	1:1 ✺
Copa America
29.06.24	Argentina - Peru	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Peru - Canada	0:1 ✺
21.06.24	Peru - Chile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLT
- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Friendly
01.09.24	Guatemala - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Copa America
13.07.24	Canada - Uruguay	2:3 penalties ✺
10.07.24	Uruguay - Colombia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Uruguay - Peru	1:0
02.09.21	Peru - Uruguay	1:1
Friendly
15.10.19	Peru - Uruguay	1:1
11.10.19	Uruguay - Peru	1:0
Copa America
29.06.19	Uruguay - Peru	0:1 penalties
FIFA World Cup
28.03.17	Peru - Uruguay	2:1
29.03.16	Uruguay - Peru	1:0

Peru - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide