Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara)


	Pescara		Picerno

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.77	3.05	4.6
	1.8	3.05	4.1
	1.76	3.22	4.68
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.75	3.34	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.47)	3.17 ↓ (3.63)	4.37 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pescara
50.7%

Draw
28.6%

Picerno
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

26%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pescara's form might have worsened.

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Picerno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pescara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Picerno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Pescara - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Picerno will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pescara: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Pescara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Picerno in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Pescara is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Monopoli - Pescara	1:2 ✺
05.12.22	Pescara - Taranto	0:2 ✺
30.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Pescara	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:3 ✺
21.11.22	Turris - Pescara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:1 ✺
30.11.22	Picerno - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Picerno - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWTW

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