Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 26

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	ACR Messina		Picerno

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.5	2.95	2.65
	2.59	3.1	2.77
	2.62	3.11	2.77
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.51	3.02	2.64	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.37)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.69 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
36%

Draw
30.3%

Picerno
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Picerno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Volpicelli E. (Pen),
42', Maselli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Garofalo V. 🟨,
53', Crimi M. 🟨,
56', Maselli S. ↓, De Ciancio R. ↑,
59', Vicario J. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
59', Luciani P. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
64', Volpicelli E. ↓, Esposito E. ↑,
65', Energe A. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
75', Tordini M. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
78', Petito F. ↓, Graziani V. ↑,
81', Gelli J. 🟨,
82', Buchel M. 🟨,
90+1', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.25	ACR Messina - Latina	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Casertana - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	ACR Messina - Crotone	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Taranto - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLWL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.25	Picerno - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
27.01.25	Crotone - Picerno	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Picerno - Catania	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Casertana - Picerno	0:1 ✺
06.01.25	Picerno - Trapani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0
25.02.24	ACR Messina - Picerno	2:2
20.10.23	Picerno - ACR Messina	1:1
08.04.23	Picerno - ACR Messina	0:0
04.12.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:1
30.01.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	1:1
26.09.21	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:1

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