Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Picerno		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.6	3.54	6.32
	1.61	3.54	6.32
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.58	3.48	5.79
	1.59	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	5.74 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
57.9%

Draw
26.1%

Virtus Francavilla
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

26.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

25.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Picerno - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Summa E. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 13. Gilli M. 6. Allegretto A. 25. Guerra W. 8. Gallo A. 30. De Ciancio R. 7. Ceccarelli T. 10. Maiorino P. 11. Esposito E. (C) 9. Murano J.	22. Forte F. (G) 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 40. Accardi A. 6. Gasbarro A. 17. Carella F. 8. Di Marco T. 77. Fornito G. 7. Biondi K. 50. Ingrosso G. 10. Polidori A. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
89. Albadoro D. 24. Biasiol E. 17. Ciko S. 29. Diop A. 12. Esposito A. (G) 18. Garcia R. 77. Graziani V. 1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 5. Pitarresi F. 16. Santarcangelo A. 27. Savarese M.	70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 15. Dutu E. 4. Gavazzi F. 90. Giovinco G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 23. Nicoli S. 29. Vapore A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Picerno won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Picerno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Picerno won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.23	Picerno - Juve Stabia	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Città di Brindisi - Picerno	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Picerno - Casertana	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Picerno - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTWW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
11.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
03.12.23	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1
16.04.23	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1
11.12.22	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
20.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1
14.11.21	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
01.03.20	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	1:2
19.10.19	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	0:0

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