Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Peterborough Sports		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.52	3.95
	1.89	3.58	3.89
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.86	3.52	3.84
	1.9	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.09)	3.47 ↑ (3.22)	3.76 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
49%

Draw
26.5%

Warrington Town
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Peterborough Sports - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Harris J. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Alban H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Gyasi M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, McCann B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 19).

Recent matches Peterborough Sports is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Peterborough Sports is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peterborough Sports won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough Sports won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	South Shields - Peterborough Sports	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTTW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Southport - Warrington Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
17.08.24	Warrington Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0
26.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Warrington Town	1:3
28.10.23	Warrington Town - Peterborough Sports	0:1

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