Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 19

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Flamingo Land Stadium (Scarborough)


	Scarborough Athletic		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.63	3.75	5	Watch
	1.6	4.01	4.97
	1.63	3.98	4.98	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.8
	1.63	3.82	4.84
	1.63	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.04)	3.81 ↑ (3.15)	4.84 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
56.9%

Draw
24.1%

Warrington Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

22.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scarborough Athletic's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scarborough Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scarborough won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Warrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Scarborough have a series of guest games.

In this match Scarborough is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Scarborough won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Scarborough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Stockton Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Burton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English National League North
26.10.24	Marine - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
23.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Southport - Warrington Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Warrington Town - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Brackley Town - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Warrington Town - South Shields	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.03.24	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	2:2
09.12.23	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	4:0
English NPL Premier Division
02.05.22	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	2:1
18.12.21	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:2
21.08.21	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	2:0
22.02.20	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
28.09.19	Scarborough Athletic - Warrington Town	1:1

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