Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)


	Peterborough United		Chelsea U21

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.64	3.9	4.25
	1.58	4.1	4.9
	1.63	4.17	4.77
	1.57	3.75	4.8
	1.61	4.2	4.95
	1.57	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	4.71 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
57.6%

Draw
22.9%

Chelsea U21
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

25.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Peterborough United - Chelsea U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Peterborough is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea U21 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chelsea U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peterborough is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
19.11.22	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.22	Salford City - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
English League One
12.11.22	Exeter City - Peterborough United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Peterborough United - Salford City	0:0 ✺
English League One
29.10.22	Peterborough United - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTW
- Chelsea U21
English Premier League 2
07.11.22	Chelsea U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Chelsea U21	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Chelsea U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Leyton Orient - Chelsea U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
15.10.22	Chelsea U21 - Manchester United U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
09.01.19	Chelsea U21 - Peterborough United	1:3

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