Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Salford City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.8
	4.1	4.1	1.75
	4	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.16	4.02	1.83
	4.16	4.03	1.79
	3.8	3.9	1.67
	4	4.05	1.77	Watch
	4	3.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.89)	3.98 ↑ (3.45)	1.77 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
23.3%

Draw
23.6%

Peterborough United
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.1%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salford City's form might have worsened.

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	14.8%	70.4%

Salford City - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Peterborough will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (C) 42. Vassell T. 16. Tilt C. 29. Garbutt L. 2. Ingram E. 6. Watt E. 14. Mallan S. 18. McAleny C. 11. McLennan C. 17. Smith M. 7. Watson R.	25. Talley F. (G) 20. Fernandez E. 5. Knight J. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 3. Burrows H. (C) 11. Poku K. 8. De Havilland R. 14. Randall J. 27. Collins A. 10. Mason-Clark E. 17. Jones R.J.
Substitutes
36. Dackers M. 53. Hamman J. 48. Henderson A. 47. Humbles L. 49. Lara J. 8. Lund M. 30. N'Mai K. 45. Pedro D. 13. Wright J. (G)	16. Ajiboye D. 1. Bilokapic N. (G) 9. Clarke-Harris J. 23. Corbett K. 36. Dornelly J. 38. Overton G. 15. Sturge Z. 43. Van Lier W. 28. Wakeling J.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Salford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peterborough is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peterborough is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
11.11.23	Salford City - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Peterborough United - Salford City	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.10.23	Salford City - Manchester United U21	4:3 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Barrow - Salford City	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Salford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWTW
- Peterborough United
English League One
11.11.23	Peterborough United - Cambridge United	5:0 ✺
07.11.23	Wigan Athletic - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Peterborough United - Salford City	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.10.23	Peterborough United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:1 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Blackpool - Peterborough United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.23	Peterborough United - Salford City	2:2
16.11.22	Salford City - Peterborough United	0:3
05.11.22	Peterborough United - Salford City	0:0

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