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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 22.9%
Draw 24.9%
Luton Town 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
26.9%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
26.2%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
18.2%
81.8%
Peterborough United - Luton Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Luton (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Bilokapic N. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 26. Okagbue D. 5. Wallin O. 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 18. Hayes C. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 10. Odoh A. 9. Ihionvein B.
24. Keeley J. (G) 28. Makosso C. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 2. Walters R. 18. Clark J. 23. Saville G. 26. Baptiste S. 7. Alli M. 21. Wells N. 9. Yates J.
Substitutes
20. Conn-Clarke C. 14. De Havilland R. 33. Dornelly J. 19. Lindgren G. 17. Lisbie K. 15. Nevett G. 21. Reyes V. (G)
22. Dabo L. 17. Lonwijk N. 6. McGuinness M. 37. Nelson Z. 1. Shea J. (G) 8. Walsh L. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Walters R. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
61', Odoh A. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
62', Okagbue D. 🟨,
70', Baptiste S. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
71', Yates J. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
72', Andersen M. 🟨,
78', Mills H. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
79', Johnston C. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
82', Khela B. 🟨,
84', Wells N. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Clark J. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
86', Wells N. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
87', Wallin O. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
90+9', Clark J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 1.
Recent performances by Peterborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Luton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Blackmore W.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Wallin O.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
United-kingdom
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Bilokapic N. (G) 
Johnston C. (C) 
Okagbue D. 
Wallin O. 
Mills H. 
Makosso C. 
Andersen M. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Baptiste S. 
Wells N. 
Nevett G. 
Reyes V. (G) 
Dabo L. 
Lonwijk N. 
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