Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.75	3.55	3.9	Watch
	2.78	3.85	2.42
	2.17	3.52	2.92	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.77	3.4	4.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sabah
47%

Draw
26.4%

Neftchi Baku
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sabah - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Neftchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 9. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 5. Dashdamirov R. 10. Isayev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Mbina O. 17. Mutallimov T. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 11. Parris K. 2. Seydiyev A. (C)	1. Balayev E. (G) 15. Badalov E. 6. D'Almeida S. 11. Faraj I. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 77. Sacko F. 7. Safarov E. 24. Seck M. 70. Shtogrin A. 10. Vargas F.
Substitutes
83. Ende S. 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 92. Pokatilov S. (G) 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 70. Sekidika J. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 80. Zedadka A.	45. Aboubakar V. 91. Azizov N. (G) 33. Breno Almeida 4. Camalov E. 28. Curci A. 17. Khachayev M. 14. Kuc E. 18. Mathew I. 13. Piric K. (G) 23. Rezabala J. 19. Salyanskiy A. 9. Sambou B.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Vernidub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Isayev A. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Vargas F. ⚽,
45', Safarov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Parris K. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
57', Ould Khaled Z. ↓, Rakhmonaliyev U. ↑,
64', Vargas F. ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
64', Mahmudov E. ↓, Mathew I. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Mathew I. ⚽,
84', Mickels J. 🟥,

Preview

Sabah is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Neftchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sabah has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sabah is the team to beat.

We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Cup
13.05.26	Sabah - Zira	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.05.26	Sabah - Kapaz	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Shamakhi - Sabah	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Sabah - Karvan	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
22.04.26	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.05.26	Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Karvan - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	1:5 ✺
17.04.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
08.12.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	2:0
14.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0
24.05.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
23.04.25	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:1
02.04.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	1:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.01.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	1:1
27.10.24	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	0:0

Upcoming Matches